The Citadel
Southern · 1-5 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#108
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#105
−8.6 pts · likely #75–116
Strength of schedule
35.3
#43 of 129
Strength of victory
9.8
1 wins
Record SOS
0.484
Opp. 51.9% · Opp. opp. 41.4%
Remaining SOS
30.3
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against The Citadel. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Charleston Southern | W 22-21 | −11.7 | +1.7 | 0.098 | 4 | −9.1 |
| 2 | vs South Carolina State | L 20-23 | +1.3 | −1.7 | 0.263 | 2 | −4.4 |
| 4 | at Mercer | L 21-38 | +16.3 | +1.7 | 0.729 | 1 | −0.5 |
| 5 | vs East Tennessee State | L 17-34 | +7.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at VMI · p 0.054
- Wk 9: vs Samford · p 0.286
- Wk 11: vs Chattanooga · p 0.582
- Wk 12: at Wofford · p 0.288
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs North GreenvilleDII · W 54-0