Chattanooga
Southern · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#19
A #25-level team matches it 43% of the time
Power
#10
+13.9 pts · likely #5–36
Strength of schedule
42.3
#22 of 129
Strength of victory
36.9
#6
Record SOS
0.587
Opp. 64.6% · Opp. opp. 46.9%
Remaining SOS
24.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Chattanooga. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Mercer | L 3-10 | +13.8 | −1.7 | 0.586 | 1 | +6.1 |
| 5 | vs Portland State | W 45-30 | −1.0 | −1.7 | 0.214 | 3 | +13.3 |
| 6 | at East Tennessee State | W 17-10 | +8.1 | +1.7 | 0.521 | 1 | +15.4 |
| 7 | at Furman | W 41-10 | +2.5 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Wofford · p 0.217
- Wk 9: vs VMI · p 0.033
- Wk 10: at Western Carolina · p 0.393
- Wk 11: at The Citadel · p 0.145
- Wk 12: vs Samford · p 0.286
- Wk 13: at Austin Peay · p 0.383
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at TennesseeFBS · L 3-69
- Wk 2: at Georgia StateFBS · L 21-24