William & Mary
CAA · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#28
A #25-level team matches it 66% of the time
Power
#21
+10.3 pts · likely #9–51
Strength of schedule
23.7
#97 of 129
Strength of victory
19.5
#43
Record SOS
0.450
Opp. 42.0% · Opp. opp. 50.9%
Remaining SOS
24.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Campbell · p 0.141
- Wk 9: at Stony Brook · p 0.294
- Wk 10: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.115
- Wk 11: vs Elon · p 0.313
- Wk 12: vs Bryant · p 0.185
- Wk 13: at Richmond · p 0.416
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Coastal CarolinaFBS · L 21-40