Montana
Big Sky · 8-4 vs FCS · 8-4 overall
Strength of record
#24
A #25-level team matches it 39% of the time
Power
#9
+12.6 pts · likely #6–30
Strength of schedule
41.2
#20 of 129
Strength of victory
33.6
#16
Record SOS
0.539
Opp. 54.7% · Opp. opp. 52.3%
Remaining SOS
61.8
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (12)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Missouri State | W 29-24 | +14.2 | −2.4 | 0.575 | 1 | +15.2 |
| 2 | at North Dakota | L 24-27 | +9.4 | +2.4 | 0.578 | 1 | +7.9 |
| 3 | vs Morehead State | W 59-2 | −12.1 | −2.4 | 0.055 | 4 | +20.8 |
| 4 | vs Western Carolina | W 46-35 | +8.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: vs Tennessee State · p 0.265
- Wk 15: at South Dakota State · p 0.971