UC Davis
Big Sky · 10-1 vs FCS · 10-2 overall
Strength of record
#5
A #25-level team matches it 1.6% of the time
Power
#5
+14.4 pts · likely #5–23
Strength of schedule
39.1
#27 of 129
Strength of victory
34.7
#12
Record SOS
0.493
Opp. 46.7% · Opp. opp. 54.4%
Remaining SOS
68.5
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
4-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs East Texas A&M | W 36-22 | −10.1 | −2.4 | 0.072 | 4 | +2.5 |
| 3 | at Southern Utah | W 24-21 | +9.1 | +2.4 | 0.569 | 1 | +14.3 |
| 4 | vs Utah Tech | W 32-14 | −7.3 | −2.4 | 0.101 | 3 | +9.6 |
| 5 | vs Idaho | W 28-26 | +12.0 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 15: vs Illinois State · p 0.492
- Wk 16: at South Dakota · p 0.879
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CaliforniaFBS · L 13-31