Idaho
Big Sky · 8-2 vs FCS · 9-3 overall
Strength of record
#8
A #25-level team matches it 8.8% of the time
Power
#12
+12.0 pts · likely #7–34
Strength of schedule
43.7
#17 of 129
Strength of victory
34.9
#11
Record SOS
0.551
Opp. 57.5% · Opp. opp. 50.3%
Remaining SOS
64.6
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
6-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs UAlbany | W 41-13 | +2.1 | −2.4 | 0.264 | 2 | +27.3 |
| 4 | at Abilene Christian | W 27-24 | +6.6 | +2.4 | 0.503 | 1 | +11.9 |
| 5 | at UC Davis | L 26-28 | +14.5 | +2.4 | 0.706 | 1 | +14.9 |
| 6 | vs Northern Arizona | W 23-17 | +11.3 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 15: vs Lehigh · p 0.399
- Wk 16: at Montana State · p 0.892
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at OregonFBS · L 14-24
- Wk 2: at WyomingFBS · W 17-13