Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 7-3 vs FCS · 8-4 overall
Strength of record
#25
A #25-level team matches it 46% of the time
Power
#17
+10.8 pts · likely #8–39
Strength of schedule
36.6
#38 of 129
Strength of victory
24.3
#48
Record SOS
0.463
Opp. 42.6% · Opp. opp. 53.7%
Remaining SOS
50.4
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Utah Tech | W 45-17 | −5.6 | +2.4 | 0.204 | 3 | +24.7 |
| 4 | at Incarnate Word | L 14-38 | +12.7 | +2.4 | 0.661 | 1 | −7.7 |
| 5 | vs Sacramento State | W 34-16 | +3.7 | −2.4 | 0.299 | 2 | +17.3 |
| 6 | at Idaho | L 17-23 | +12.0 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: at Abilene Christian · p 0.504
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 66-6
- Wk 2: at ArizonaFBS · L 10-22