Morehead State
Pioneer · 5-5 vs FCS · 7-5 overall
Strength of record
#84
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#117
−11.7 pts · likely #97–121
Strength of schedule
22.3
#103 of 129
Strength of victory
12.6
#89
Record SOS
0.533
Opp. 57.8% · Opp. opp. 44.4%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Montana | L 2-59 | +12.4 | +2.4 | 0.655 | 1 | −19.9 |
| 4 | at Eastern Kentucky | L 13-42 | +6.8 | +2.4 | 0.508 | 1 | −19.4 |
| 5 | vs Valparaiso | W 17-5 | −20.8 | −2.4 | 0.014 | 4 | −9.7 |
| 6 | at Butler | L 6-40 | −5.3 | +2.4 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Central State (OH)DII · W 17-10
- Wk 2: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 48-7