San Diego
Pioneer · 7-3 vs FCS · 8-3 overall
Strength of record
#62
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#73
−2.4 pts · likely #54–97
Strength of schedule
14.5
#124 of 129
Strength of victory
6.9
#104
Record SOS
0.426
Opp. 40.3% · Opp. opp. 47.3%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
4-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against San Diego. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Cal Poly | W 27-21 | −6.3 | −2.4 | 0.115 | 3 | −3.7 |
| 4 | at North Dakota | L 24-41 | +9.6 | +2.4 | 0.584 | 1 | −6.1 |
| 5 | at Drake | L 28-30 | −2.5 | +2.4 | 0.270 | 2 | −2.0 |
| 6 | vs Presbyterian | W 27-21 OT | −11.0 | −2.4 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Central WashingtonDII · W 26-7