Western Carolina
Southern · 5-4 vs FCS · 5-5 overall
Strength of record
#39
A #25-level team matches it 74% of the time
Power
#27
+8.0 pts · likely #14–52
Strength of schedule
40.6
#23 of 129
Strength of victory
32.1
#18
Record SOS
0.538
Opp. 55.0% · Opp. opp. 51.3%
Remaining SOS
18.1
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Carolina. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs VMI · p 0.037
- Wk 13: at Samford · p 0.325
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at NC StateFBS · L 21-38