Elon
CAA · 4-5 vs FCS · 4-6 overall
Strength of record
#52
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#43
+5.8 pts · likely #20–61
Strength of schedule
40.6
#24 of 129
Strength of victory
42.8
#4
Record SOS
0.557
Opp. 58.7% · Opp. opp. 49.8%
Remaining SOS
18.1
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-5
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Carolina Central | W 41-19 | +11.5 | +2.4 | 0.633 | 1 | +32.6 |
| 3 | vs Western Carolina | L 17-24 | +6.9 | −2.4 | 0.380 | 2 | −1.5 |
| 4 | vs East Tennessee State | L 14-34 | +6.8 | −2.4 | 0.376 | 2 | −14.9 |
| 5 | vs Richmond | L 17-27 | +7.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Maine · p 0.294
- Wk 13: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.068
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at DukeFBS · L 3-26