Mercer
Southern · 9-1 vs FCS · 9-1 overall
Strength of record
#11
A #25-level team matches it 18% of the time
Power
#13
+12.5 pts · likely #7–32
Strength of schedule
26.3
#85 of 129
Strength of victory
26.5
#36
Record SOS
0.471
Opp. 44.4% · Opp. opp. 52.5%
Remaining SOS
49.6
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | W 63-10 | −10.3 | −2.4 | 0.070 | 4 | +22.2 |
| 2 | at Bethune-Cookman | W 31-2 | −11.8 | +2.4 | 0.107 | 3 | +20.2 |
| 3 | at Chattanooga | W 10-3 | +14.9 | +2.4 | 0.715 | 1 | +23.0 |
| 4 | vs The Citadel | W 38-21 | −6.8 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Furman · p 0.112
- Wk 15: vs Rhode Island · p 0.462
- Wk 16: at North Dakota State · p 0.915