Montana
Big Sky · 7-3 vs FCS · 7-3 overall
Strength of record
#23
A #25-level team matches it 43% of the time
Power
#9
+13.6 pts · likely #6–28
Strength of schedule
37.7
#36 of 129
Strength of victory
34.3
#10
Record SOS
0.528
Opp. 53.3% · Opp. opp. 51.9%
Remaining SOS
58.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Missouri State | W 29-24 | +17.8 | −2.4 | 0.667 | 1 | +19.4 |
| 2 | at North Dakota | L 24-27 | +10.7 | +2.4 | 0.611 | 1 | +9.4 |
| 3 | vs Morehead State | W 59-2 | −12.5 | −2.4 | 0.052 | 4 | +20.3 |
| 4 | vs Western Carolina | W 46-35 | +8.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Portland State · p 0.265
- Wk 13: at Montana State · p 0.891
- Wk 14: vs Tennessee State · p 0.235
- Wk 15: at South Dakota State · p 0.964