Morehead State
Pioneer · 4-4 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#86
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#118
−12.2 pts · likely #96–122
Strength of schedule
23.0
#97 of 129
Strength of victory
8.3
#90
Record SOS
0.489
Opp. 50.9% · Opp. opp. 45.0%
Remaining SOS
20.7
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Montana | L 2-59 | +13.4 | +2.4 | 0.680 | 1 | −18.9 |
| 4 | at Eastern Kentucky | L 13-42 | +6.9 | +2.4 | 0.511 | 1 | −19.1 |
| 5 | vs Valparaiso | W 17-5 | −21.6 | −2.4 | 0.013 | 4 | −10.8 |
| 6 | at Butler | L 6-40 | −5.1 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Drake · p 0.284
- Wk 13: vs San Diego · p 0.130
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Central State (OH)DII · W 17-10
- Wk 2: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 48-7