St. Thomas (MN)
Pioneer · 4-4 vs FCS · 5-5 overall
Strength of record
#104
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#106
−8.6 pts · likely #80–117
Strength of schedule
11.6
#127 of 129
Strength of victory
5.7
#94
Record SOS
0.401
Opp. 35.8% · Opp. opp. 48.5%
Remaining SOS
17.3
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-3
Tier 4
Weak
3-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against St. Thomas (MN). p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Northern Iowa | L 10-17 | +0.4 | −2.4 | 0.228 | 3 | −9.3 |
| 4 | at Lindenwood | L 0-64 | −5.4 | +2.4 | 0.209 | 3 | −35.9 |
| 6 | vs Stetson | W 34-24 | −29.6 | −2.4 | 0.003 | 4 | −20.0 |
| 7 | at Marist | W 39-32 | −26.0 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Butler · p 0.272
- Wk 13: vs Dayton · p 0.075
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Sioux FallsDII · L 13-34
- Wk 3: vs Black Hills StateDII · W 24-14