Drake
Pioneer · 7-1 vs FCS · 7-1 overall
Strength of record
#21
A #25-level team matches it 30% of the time
Power
#72
−1.9 pts · likely #52–97
Strength of schedule
25.0
#88 of 129
Strength of victory
16.2
#73
Record SOS
0.477
Opp. 48.6% · Opp. opp. 45.9%
Remaining SOS
23.2
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Drake. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Eastern Washington | W 35-32 OT | +8.3 | +2.4 | 0.547 | 1 | +12.0 |
| 4 | at South Dakota | L 3-42 | +23.0 | +2.4 | 0.868 | 1 | −9.4 |
| 5 | vs San Diego | W 30-28 | −5.6 | −2.4 | 0.124 | 3 | −5.4 |
| 6 | at Valparaiso | W 27-3 | −20.8 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Morehead State · p 0.047
- Wk 13: at Stetson · p 0.009
- Wk 14: at Tarleton State · p 0.640