Dayton
Pioneer · 4-4 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#102
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#114
−10.2 pts · likely #89–120
Strength of schedule
12.5
#126 of 129
Strength of victory
12.7
#81
Record SOS
0.430
Opp. 42.1% · Opp. opp. 45.0%
Remaining SOS
7.3
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
3-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Saint Francis | W 18-10 | −7.8 | −2.4 | 0.096 | 4 | −2.8 |
| 3 | at Indiana State | L 13-24 | −3.6 | +2.4 | 0.246 | 3 | −11.9 |
| 5 | at Marist | W 47-14 | −23.4 | +2.4 | 0.021 | 4 | +11.5 |
| 7 | vs Davidson | W 16-14 | −10.8 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Valparaiso · p 0.012
- Wk 13: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.133
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: vs Ave MariaNon-NCAA · W 49-7