Indiana State
MVFC · 4-5 vs FCS · 4-6 overall
Strength of record
#63
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#78
−3.4 pts · likely #59–102
Strength of schedule
38.1
#33 of 129
Strength of victory
25.2
#44
Record SOS
0.498
Opp. 45.6% · Opp. opp. 58.3%
Remaining SOS
39.1
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Indiana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Eastern Illinois | L 20-27 | −7.8 | +2.4 | 0.166 | 3 | −11.1 |
| 3 | vs Dayton | W 24-13 | −9.5 | −2.4 | 0.077 | 4 | −1.8 |
| 5 | vs Houston Christian | L 24-27 | −7.6 | −2.4 | 0.098 | 4 | −12.6 |
| 6 | at Youngstown State | L 14-21 | +7.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Illinois State · p 0.446
- Wk 13: at Northern Iowa · p 0.337
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at PurdueFBS · L 0-49