Southern Illinois
MVFC · 3-6 vs FCS · 3-7 overall
Strength of record
#50
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#55
+2.4 pts · likely #31–76
Strength of schedule
54.9
#2 of 129
Strength of victory
49.1
#1
Record SOS
0.646
Opp. 71.5% · Opp. opp. 50.9%
Remaining SOS
53.6
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Austin Peay | W 31-17 | +5.3 | +2.4 | 0.467 | 2 | +20.8 |
| 3 | vs Incarnate Word | W 35-28 | +15.7 | −2.4 | 0.614 | 1 | +18.2 |
| 4 | vs Southeast Missouri State | L 21-38 | +7.3 | −2.4 | 0.389 | 2 | −12.2 |
| 5 | at South Dakota | L 13-42 | +23.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at South Dakota State · p 0.964
- Wk 13: vs Murray State · p 0.108
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at BYUFBS · L 13-41