Austin Peay
UAC · 4-5 vs FCS · 4-6 overall
Strength of record
#62
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#47
+4.3 pts · likely #26–68
Strength of schedule
33.9
#47 of 129
Strength of victory
25.7
#39
Record SOS
0.475
Opp. 43.7% · Opp. opp. 55.2%
Remaining SOS
48.0
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-4
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Austin Peay. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Southern Illinois | L 17-31 | +0.5 | −2.4 | 0.229 | 3 | −14.2 |
| 3 | at Central Arkansas | L 17-45 | +5.9 | +2.4 | 0.482 | 2 | −18.8 |
| 4 | vs Alabama A&M | W 59-16 | −0.5 | −2.4 | 0.209 | 3 | +29.0 |
| 5 | vs Southern Utah | L 17-28 | +9.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.399
- Wk 13: vs Chattanooga · p 0.562
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at LouisvilleFBS · L 0-62