UC Davis
Big Sky · 9-0 vs FCS · 9-1 overall
Strength of record
#3
A #25-level team matches it 1.2% of the time
Power
#6
+14.6 pts · likely #5–24
Strength of schedule
33.4
#49 of 129
Strength of victory
33.4
#14
Record SOS
0.467
Opp. 39.8% · Opp. opp. 60.5%
Remaining SOS
63.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs East Texas A&M | W 36-22 | −11.3 | −2.4 | 0.062 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 3 | at Southern Utah | W 24-21 | +10.4 | +2.4 | 0.603 | 1 | +15.9 |
| 4 | vs Utah Tech | W 32-14 | −8.9 | −2.4 | 0.084 | 4 | +8.3 |
| 5 | vs Idaho | W 28-26 | +10.4 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Montana State · p 0.816
- Wk 13: at Sacramento State · p 0.411
- Wk 15: vs Illinois State · p 0.446
- Wk 16: at South Dakota · p 0.882
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CaliforniaFBS · L 13-31