Portland State
Big Sky · 2-5 vs FCS · 2-7 overall
Strength of record
#53
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#53
+2.8 pts · likely #31–77
Strength of schedule
53.9
#3 of 129
Strength of victory
44.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.596
Opp. 66.8% · Opp. opp. 45.1%
Remaining SOS
37.5
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Portland State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Weber State | L 16-43 | +0.5 | +2.4 | 0.341 | 2 | −22.8 |
| 5 | at Chattanooga | L 30-45 | +13.6 | +2.4 | 0.684 | 1 | +1.0 |
| 6 | vs UC Davis | L 26-27 | +14.9 | −2.4 | 0.593 | 1 | +11.1 |
| 7 | at Idaho State | W 42-38 | +2.7 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Montana · p 0.693
- Wk 13: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.057
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Washington StateFBS · L 30-70
- Wk 4: at Boise StateFBS · L 14-56