Montana State
Big Sky · 9-0 vs FCS · 10-0 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 3.2% of the time
Power
#3
+24.9 pts · likely #2–5
Strength of schedule
29.8
#73 of 129
Strength of victory
29.8
#27
Record SOS
0.454
Opp. 38.2% · Opp. opp. 59.7%
Remaining SOS
66.6
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Utah Tech | W 31-7 | −8.8 | +2.4 | 0.148 | 3 | +19.4 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 41-24 | +2.7 | −2.4 | 0.277 | 2 | +18.1 |
| 4 | vs Mercyhurst | W 52-13 | −11.5 | −2.4 | 0.059 | 4 | +21.8 |
| 5 | at Idaho State | W 37-17 | +2.0 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at UC Davis · p 0.694
- Wk 13: vs Montana · p 0.568
- Wk 15: vs UT Martin · p 0.561
- Wk 16: vs Idaho · p 0.484
- Wk 17: vs (N) North Dakota State · p 0.886
- Wk 17: vs South Dakota · p 0.802
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at New MexicoFBS · W 35-31