Idaho
Big Sky · 6-2 vs FCS · 7-3 overall
Strength of record
#12
A #25-level team matches it 18% of the time
Power
#17
+10.6 pts · likely #9–41
Strength of schedule
45.3
#12 of 129
Strength of victory
34.2
#11
Record SOS
0.576
Opp. 60.5% · Opp. opp. 51.8%
Remaining SOS
47.4
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs UAlbany | W 41-13 | +1.2 | −2.4 | 0.244 | 3 | +25.7 |
| 4 | at Abilene Christian | W 27-24 | +6.7 | +2.4 | 0.505 | 1 | +12.1 |
| 5 | at UC Davis | L 26-28 | +14.4 | +2.4 | 0.703 | 1 | +15.2 |
| 6 | vs Northern Arizona | W 23-17 | +9.5 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Weber State · p 0.284
- Wk 13: at Idaho State · p 0.379
- Wk 15: vs Lehigh · p 0.341
- Wk 16: at Montana State · p 0.891
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at OregonFBS · L 14-24
- Wk 2: at WyomingFBS · W 17-13