Southern Utah
UAC · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#54
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#42
+5.8 pts · likely #19–65
Strength of schedule
44.7
#12 of 128
Strength of victory
27.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.546
Opp. 59.0% · Opp. opp. 45.9%
Remaining SOS
37.5
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Utah. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at UC Davis | L 21-23 | +10.2 | +2.4 | 0.596 | 1 | +9.6 |
| 4 | vs Western Illinois | W 37-17 | −15.6 | −2.4 | 0.034 | 4 | +2.1 |
| 5 | vs Central Arkansas | L 27-29 | +12.6 | −2.4 | 0.533 | 1 | +7.1 |
| 6 | at Tarleton State | W 27-26 | +7.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.363
- Wk 11: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.534
- Wk 12: at Utah Tech · p 0.227
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arizona StateFBS · L 21-24
- Wk 2: at BYUFBS · L 16-41