UC Davis
Big Sky · 4-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#37
A #25-level team matches it 77% of the time
Power
#29
+9.3 pts · likely #10–51
Strength of schedule
29.1
#80 of 128
Strength of victory
26.1
#38
Record SOS
0.479
Opp. 45.0% · Opp. opp. 53.8%
Remaining SOS
36.4
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at East Texas A&M | W 48-10 | −5.7 | +2.4 | 0.202 | 3 | +29.4 |
| 3 | vs Southern Utah | W 23-21 | +5.5 | −2.4 | 0.346 | 2 | +5.5 |
| 4 | vs Eastern Washington | L 24-27 | +0.8 | −2.4 | 0.236 | 3 | −2.9 |
| 5 | at Cal Poly | W 31-13 | −11.0 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Northern Arizona · p 0.368
- Wk 10: vs Portland State · p 0.321
- Wk 11: at Idaho State · p 0.299
- Wk 12: vs Sacramento State · p 0.468
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Oregon StateFBS · L 7-55