Cal Poly
Big Sky · 2-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#85
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#107
−11.2 pts · likely #85–122
Strength of schedule
39.2
#25 of 128
Strength of victory
6.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.476
Opp. 45.3% · Opp. opp. 52.3%
Remaining SOS
42.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Cal Poly. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs San Diego | W 27-10 | −10.9 | −2.4 | 0.066 | 4 | +2.8 |
| 4 | at Portland State | L 21-59 | +0.8 | +2.4 | 0.347 | 2 | −29.4 |
| 5 | vs UC Davis | L 13-31 | +9.6 | −2.4 | 0.454 | 2 | −11.0 |
| 6 | vs Idaho | L 14-42 | +13.3 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Eastern Washington · p 0.394
- Wk 11: at Sacramento State · p 0.595
- Wk 12: vs Weber State · p 0.279
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at San José StateFBS · L 3-59
- Wk 3: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 41-20