Portland State
Big Sky · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#56
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#51
+3.3 pts · likely #25–78
Strength of schedule
39.0
#28 of 128
Strength of victory
27.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.528
Opp. 53.3% · Opp. opp. 51.7%
Remaining SOS
36.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Portland State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs Cal Poly | W 59-21 | −8.3 | −2.4 | 0.092 | 4 | +21.5 |
| 5 | at Montana State | L 22-38 | +23.2 | +2.4 | 0.870 | 1 | +8.2 |
| 7 | at Northern Arizona | W 45-21 | +5.4 | +2.4 | 0.466 | 2 | +27.5 |
| 8 | vs Idaho State | L 24-38 | −5.1 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.278
- Wk 10: at UC Davis · p 0.580
- Wk 11: vs Montana · p 0.502
- Wk 12: at Northern Colorado · p 0.114
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at OregonFBS · L 7-81
- Wk 2: at WyomingFBS · L 17-31
- Wk 3: vs North American UniversityNon-NCAA · W 91-0