Tarleton State
UAC · 4-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#50
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#37
+6.5 pts · likely #18–63
Strength of schedule
24.7
#97 of 128
Strength of victory
16.2
#59
Record SOS
0.380
Opp. 29.6% · Opp. opp. 54.8%
Remaining SOS
51.5
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at McNeese | W 52-34 | −11.7 | +2.4 | 0.106 | 3 | +8.8 |
| 2 | vs North Alabama | W 52-31 | −1.4 | −2.4 | 0.194 | 3 | +15.5 |
| 5 | at Southeastern Louisiana | W 14-13 | −2.1 | +2.4 | 0.277 | 2 | +2.8 |
| 6 | vs Southern Utah | L 26-27 | +5.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Central Arkansas · p 0.649
- Wk 10: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.408
- Wk 11: at Abilene Christian · p 0.487
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Texas TechFBS · L 3-41
- Wk 4: vs Southwest BaptistDII · W 27-13