Central Arkansas
UAC · 4-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#6
A #25-level team matches it 15% of the time
Power
#18
+11.4 pts · likely #6–43
Strength of schedule
52.3
#3 of 128
Strength of victory
46.6
#3
Record SOS
0.595
Opp. 61.3% · Opp. opp. 55.7%
Remaining SOS
42.0
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at North Dakota State | L 31-49 | +16.7 | +2.4 | 0.753 | 1 | +1.0 |
| 4 | vs Abilene Christian | W 52-17 | +10.3 | −2.4 | 0.472 | 2 | +38.7 |
| 5 | at Southern Utah | W 29-27 | +5.9 | +2.4 | 0.480 | 2 | +10.1 |
| 6 | vs Southeast Missouri State | W 38-33 | +12.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Tarleton State · p 0.379
- Wk 10: at North Alabama · p 0.267
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.369
- Wk 12: at Austin Peay · p 0.666
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Oklahoma StateFBS · L 13-27
- Wk 2: vs Texas CollegeNon-NCAA · W 70-2