Southeast Missouri State
OVC · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#55
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#21
+11.3 pts · likely #7–43
Strength of schedule
35.2
#46 of 128
Strength of victory
16.0
#60
Record SOS
0.562
Opp. 58.1% · Opp. opp. 52.6%
Remaining SOS
34.4
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southeast Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Lindenwood | W 45-7 | −9.2 | −2.4 | 0.082 | 4 | +22.6 |
| 3 | vs Southern Illinois | L 25-26 | +12.3 | −2.4 | 0.526 | 1 | +8.0 |
| 4 | at Eastern Kentucky | L 38-41 | +5.3 | +2.4 | 0.465 | 2 | +5.1 |
| 6 | at Central Arkansas | L 33-38 | +11.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Nicholls State · p 0.434
- Wk 10: vs Robert Morris · p 0.048
- Wk 11: at UT Martin · p 0.603
- Wk 12: at Bryant · p 0.289
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 0-45