Southern Illinois
MVFC · 4-2 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#12
A #25-level team matches it 23% of the time
Power
#19
+11.3 pts · likely #8–44
Strength of schedule
54.9
#1 of 128
Strength of victory
46.5
#4
Record SOS
0.670
Opp. 71.7% · Opp. opp. 57.5%
Remaining SOS
41.2
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Austin Peay | W 49-23 | +16.7 | −2.4 | 0.643 | 1 | +36.7 |
| 3 | at Southeast Missouri State | W 26-25 | +12.0 | +2.4 | 0.643 | 1 | +14.6 |
| 5 | vs Missouri State | W 33-20 | +6.6 | −2.4 | 0.374 | 2 | +15.7 |
| 6 | at Youngstown State | L 3-31 | +8.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Western Illinois · p 0.071
- Wk 10: vs South Dakota · p 0.532
- Wk 11: at North Dakota State · p 0.782
- Wk 12: vs Indiana State · p 0.073
- Wk 13: vs Nicholls State · p 0.314
- Wk 14: at Idaho · p 0.698
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Northern IllinoisFBS · W 14-11