Stephen F. Austin
Southland · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#80
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#35
+7.0 pts · likely #16–58
Strength of schedule
30.3
#72 of 128
Strength of victory
13.7
#64
Record SOS
0.483
Opp. 47.9% · Opp. opp. 49.1%
Remaining SOS
45.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stephen F. Austin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Alcorn State | W 38-10 | −1.0 | −2.4 | 0.200 | 3 | +22.9 |
| 3 | at Northwestern State | W 41-7 | −11.8 | +2.4 | 0.105 | 3 | +22.0 |
| 4 | vs Austin Peay | L 20-22 | +13.1 | −2.4 | 0.547 | 1 | +8.7 |
| 5 | vs East Texas A&M | W 56-27 | −7.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Tarleton State · p 0.504
- Wk 11: vs Southern Utah · p 0.364
- Wk 12: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.494
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at TroyFBS · L 30-48