Alcorn State
SWAC · 4-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#60
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#76
−2.8 pts · likely #53–98
Strength of schedule
19.9
#113 of 128
Strength of victory
16.2
#58
Record SOS
0.384
Opp. 33.1% · Opp. opp. 49.1%
Remaining SOS
27.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alcorn State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Stephen F. Austin | L 10-38 | +5.9 | +2.4 | 0.479 | 2 | −18.7 |
| 3 | vs McNeese | W 17-3 | −11.5 | −2.4 | 0.060 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 4 | vs Prairie View A&M | L 20-23 | −10.4 | −2.4 | 0.070 | 4 | −13.7 |
| 5 | at Alabama State | W 23-20 OT | +3.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Mississippi Valley State · p 0.052
- Wk 10: vs Southern · p 0.271
- Wk 11: at Texas Southern · p 0.227
- Wk 12: at Jackson State · p 0.536
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Southern MissFBS · L 14-40