Indiana State
MVFC · 0-5 vs FCS · 0-7 overall
Strength of record
#119
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#101
−9.5 pts · likely #77–120
Strength of schedule
39.0
#29 of 128
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.564
Opp. 60.3% · Opp. opp. 48.5%
Remaining SOS
47.7
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Indiana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Eastern Illinois | L 0-27 | −1.4 | −2.4 | 0.194 | 3 | −28.9 |
| 5 | at Murray State | L 28-30 | −5.8 | +2.4 | 0.199 | 3 | −7.0 |
| 6 | vs Northern Iowa | L 20-27 | +10.8 | −2.4 | 0.484 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 7 | at Illinois State | L 7-44 | +7.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at North Dakota · p 0.675
- Wk 10: vs Youngstown State · p 0.538
- Wk 11: vs Western Illinois · p 0.037
- Wk 12: at Southern Illinois · p 0.659
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at IndianaFBS · L 7-41
- Wk 3: at Ball StateFBS · L 7-45