Northern Iowa
MVFC · 4-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#19
A #25-level team matches it 39% of the time
Power
#28
+9.6 pts · likely #9–50
Strength of schedule
46.5
#6 of 128
Strength of victory
42.6
#5
Record SOS
0.593
Opp. 59.2% · Opp. opp. 59.6%
Remaining SOS
43.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Iowa. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Weber State | L 17-34 | −1.4 | −2.4 | 0.193 | 3 | −16.9 |
| 3 | at Idaho State | W 41-17 | +1.8 | +2.4 | 0.373 | 2 | +25.5 |
| 5 | vs Youngstown State | W 44-41 | +13.4 | −2.4 | 0.556 | 1 | +12.9 |
| 6 | at Indiana State | W 27-20 | −11.9 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Illinois State · p 0.561
- Wk 10: vs Western Illinois · p 0.037
- Wk 11: at Missouri State · p 0.483
- Wk 12: vs North Dakota State · p 0.676
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 9-30