Chattanooga
Southern · 6-2 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#27
A #25-level team matches it 63% of the time
Power
#22
+11.3 pts · likely #8–43
Strength of schedule
27.1
#88 of 128
Strength of victory
24.0
#44
Record SOS
0.416
Opp. 34.6% · Opp. opp. 55.5%
Remaining SOS
51.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Chattanooga. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at North Alabama | L 27-41 | −5.5 | +2.4 | 0.206 | 3 | −14.9 |
| 2 | vs Kennesaw State | W 27-20 | −3.9 | −2.4 | 0.150 | 3 | +2.2 |
| 3 | vs The Citadel | W 48-3 | −14.9 | −2.4 | 0.038 | 4 | +18.0 |
| 4 | at Samford | W 47-24 | +5.5 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at VMI · p 0.107
- Wk 10: vs Furman · p 0.575
- Wk 13: at Austin Peay · p 0.666
- Wk 14: at Furman · p 0.695