Samford
Southern · 3-3 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#62
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#50
+3.8 pts · likely #28–75
Strength of schedule
32.5
#61 of 128
Strength of victory
11.2
#70
Record SOS
0.527
Opp. 56.1% · Opp. opp. 45.9%
Remaining SOS
34.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Samford. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Western Carolina | L 7-30 | +10.7 | +2.4 | 0.609 | 1 | −9.1 |
| 4 | vs Chattanooga | L 24-47 | +8.2 | −2.4 | 0.416 | 2 | −14.0 |
| 5 | vs East Tennessee State | W 42-28 | −5.8 | −2.4 | 0.123 | 3 | +6.4 |
| 6 | at Wofford | W 31-10 | −11.8 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs The Citadel · p 0.032
- Wk 11: at Mercer · p 0.520
- Wk 12: vs UT Martin · p 0.477
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs ShorterDII · W 69-14
- Wk 3: at AuburnFBS · L 13-45