Western Carolina
Southern · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#14
A #25-level team matches it 27% of the time
Power
#16
+11.6 pts · likely #6–43
Strength of schedule
36.5
#38 of 128
Strength of victory
33.3
#13
Record SOS
0.589
Opp. 61.8% · Opp. opp. 53.2%
Remaining SOS
17.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Carolina. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Samford | W 30-7 | +4.5 | −2.4 | 0.321 | 2 | +24.5 |
| 3 | at Eastern Kentucky | W 27-24 | +6.3 | +2.4 | 0.491 | 2 | +11.1 |
| 4 | vs Charleston Southern | W 77-21 | −2.5 | −2.4 | 0.174 | 3 | +27.5 |
| 5 | at The Citadel | W 49-14 | −14.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Mercer · p 0.394
- Wk 10: at Wofford · p 0.093
- Wk 11: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.117
- Wk 12: at VMI · p 0.107
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArkansasFBS · L 13-56