Mercer
Southern · 5-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#47
A #25-level team matches it 81% of the time
Power
#33
+7.7 pts · likely #15–58
Strength of schedule
24.0
#102 of 128
Strength of victory
12.2
#67
Record SOS
0.474
Opp. 48.5% · Opp. opp. 45.2%
Remaining SOS
43.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Alabama | W 17-7 | −2.5 | 0.0 | 0.218 | 3 | +6.8 |
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 48-22 | −12.1 | −2.4 | 0.056 | 4 | +11.3 |
| 4 | at Furman | L 14-38 | +11.8 | +2.4 | 0.636 | 1 | −7.5 |
| 5 | vs VMI | W 38-3 | −9.6 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Western Carolina · p 0.652
- Wk 10: at The Citadel · p 0.063
- Wk 11: vs Samford · p 0.280
- Wk 13: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.267
- Wk 14: at South Dakota State · p 0.921
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Ole MissFBS · L 7-73