UC Davis
Big Sky · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#49
A #25-level team matches it 89% of the time
Power
#29
+9.4 pts · likely #10–51
Strength of schedule
26.2
#83 of 128
Strength of victory
23.1
#28
Record SOS
0.494
Opp. 48.3% · Opp. opp. 51.5%
Remaining SOS
37.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at East Texas A&M | W 48-10 | −3.6 | +2.7 | 0.250 | 2 | +30.7 |
| 3 | vs Southern Utah | W 23-21 | +5.2 | −2.7 | 0.329 | 2 | +5.1 |
| 4 | vs Eastern Washington | L 24-27 | +0.3 | −2.7 | 0.221 | 3 | −2.9 |
| 5 | at Cal Poly | W 31-13 | −11.5 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Weber State · p 0.405
- Wk 9: at Northern Arizona · p 0.470
- Wk 10: vs Portland State · p 0.300
- Wk 11: at Idaho State · p 0.176
- Wk 12: vs Sacramento State · p 0.529
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Oregon StateFBS · L 7-55