Montana
Big Sky · 4-1 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#20
A #25-level team matches it 50% of the time
Power
#26
+9.8 pts · likely #10–50
Strength of schedule
30.9
#65 of 128
Strength of victory
28.8
#17
Record SOS
0.531
Opp. 53.3% · Opp. opp. 52.7%
Remaining SOS
58.2
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Butler | W 35-20 | −4.8 | −2.7 | 0.132 | 3 | +8.0 |
| 2 | at Utah Tech | W 43-13 | −1.2 | +2.7 | 0.306 | 2 | +28.5 |
| 4 | at Northern Arizona | L 14-28 | +2.2 | +2.7 | 0.392 | 2 | −5.7 |
| 5 | vs Idaho State | W 28-20 | −10.8 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Idaho · p 0.736
- Wk 9: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.046
- Wk 10: vs Sacramento State · p 0.529
- Wk 11: at Portland State · p 0.438
- Wk 12: vs Montana State · p 0.768
- Wk 14: vs Delaware · p 0.581
- Wk 15: vs Furman · p 0.516
- Wk 16: vs North Dakota State · p 0.763
- Wk 16: vs (N) South Dakota State · p 0.856
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Ferris StateDII · W 17-10