Idaho State
Big Sky · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#87
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#94
−7.1 pts · likely #62–116
Strength of schedule
32.8
#51 of 128
Strength of victory
5.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.471
Opp. 47.2% · Opp. opp. 46.9%
Remaining SOS
47.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Northern Iowa | L 17-41 | +2.8 | −2.7 | 0.272 | 2 | −20.4 |
| 4 | vs Northern Colorado | W 35-21 | −11.8 | −2.7 | 0.055 | 4 | −1.5 |
| 5 | at Montana | L 20-28 | +12.2 | +2.7 | 0.656 | 1 | +4.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.281
- Wk 8: at Portland State · p 0.438
- Wk 9: at Sacramento State · p 0.669
- Wk 10: vs Weber State · p 0.271
- Wk 11: vs UC Davis · p 0.453
- Wk 12: at Idaho · p 0.736
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San Diego StateFBS · L 28-36
- Wk 2: at Utah StateFBS · L 28-78