Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#43
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#42
+5.5 pts · likely #21–68
Strength of schedule
49.8
#6 of 128
Strength of victory
51.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.622
Opp. 65.0% · Opp. opp. 56.7%
Remaining SOS
41.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Dakota | L 22-37 | +12.2 | +2.7 | 0.656 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 3 | vs Utah Tech | L 36-50 | −9.3 | −2.7 | 0.077 | 4 | −20.9 |
| 4 | vs Montana | W 28-14 | +12.8 | −2.7 | 0.530 | 1 | +21.1 |
| 5 | at Sacramento State | L 30-31 | +14.8 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Portland State · p 0.300
- Wk 9: vs UC Davis · p 0.453
- Wk 10: at Montana State · p 0.864
- Wk 11: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.046
- Wk 12: at Eastern Washington · p 0.416
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArizonaFBS · L 3-38