Weber State
Big Sky · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#44
A #25-level team matches it 86% of the time
Power
#55
+2.4 pts · likely #29–81
Strength of schedule
41.2
#22 of 128
Strength of victory
35.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.519
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 55.6%
Remaining SOS
35.3
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Weber State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Northern Iowa | W 34-17 | +10.9 | +2.7 | 0.624 | 1 | +26.0 |
| 4 | vs Montana State | L 0-40 | +19.0 | −2.7 | 0.691 | 1 | −15.8 |
| 5 | at Northern Colorado | W 28-21 | −14.5 | +2.7 | 0.079 | 4 | −3.1 |
| 6 | vs Northern Arizona | L 10-27 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs UC Davis · p 0.453
- Wk 8: at Eastern Washington · p 0.416
- Wk 10: at Idaho State · p 0.176
- Wk 11: vs Idaho · p 0.605
- Wk 12: at Cal Poly · p 0.115
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Central WashingtonDII · W 35-10
- Wk 3: at UtahFBS · L 7-31