North Dakota
MVFC · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#28
A #25-level team matches it 60% of the time
Power
#11
+12.7 pts · likely #5–40
Strength of schedule
34.6
#43 of 128
Strength of victory
16.9
#38
Record SOS
0.565
Opp. 54.2% · Opp. opp. 61.0%
Remaining SOS
44.1
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Drake | W 55-7 | −7.3 | −2.7 | 0.099 | 4 | +23.4 |
| 2 | vs Northern Arizona | W 37-22 | +6.0 | −2.7 | 0.350 | 2 | +17.8 |
| 5 | at South Dakota State | L 21-42 | +23.2 | +2.7 | 0.875 | 1 | +6.2 |
| 6 | vs Western Illinois | W 49-10 | −11.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs North Dakota State · p 0.763
- Wk 8: at Northern Iowa · p 0.487
- Wk 9: vs Indiana State · p 0.073
- Wk 10: at Murray State · p 0.176
- Wk 11: at South Dakota · p 0.691
- Wk 12: vs Illinois State · p 0.369
- Wk 13: vs Sacramento State · p 0.529
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Boise StateFBS · L 18-42