Western Illinois
MVFC · 0-4 vs FCS · 0-5 overall
Strength of record
#109
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#117
−12.8 pts · likely #86–125
Strength of schedule
39.6
#24 of 128
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.444
Opp. 43.8% · Opp. opp. 45.8%
Remaining SOS
47.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Illinois State | L 18-34 | +6.9 | −2.7 | 0.373 | 2 | −12.3 |
| 3 | vs Lindenwood | L 40-43 | −11.3 | −2.7 | 0.059 | 4 | −15.8 |
| 4 | at Southern Utah | L 17-37 | +6.6 | +2.7 | 0.507 | 1 | −11.5 |
| 6 | at North Dakota | L 10-49 | +11.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Missouri State · p 0.332
- Wk 8: at North Dakota State · p 0.861
- Wk 9: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.468
- Wk 10: at Northern Iowa · p 0.487
- Wk 11: at Indiana State · p 0.139
- Wk 12: vs South Dakota · p 0.553
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at New Mexico StateFBS · L 21-58