Drake
Pioneer · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#53
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#98
−8.9 pts · likely #73–119
Strength of schedule
41.9
#21 of 128
Strength of victory
9.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.517
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 55.2%
Remaining SOS
21.1
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Drake. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at North Dakota | L 7-55 | +11.1 | +2.7 | 0.628 | 1 | −19.6 |
| 3 | vs (N) South Dakota State | L 7-70 | +24.4 | 0.0 | 0.853 | 1 | −10.6 |
| 5 | at Morehead State | W 16-9 | −8.8 | +2.7 | 0.153 | 3 | −0.5 |
| 6 | vs Valparaiso | W 20-14 | −13.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.131
- Wk 8: at San Diego · p 0.124
- Wk 9: vs Stetson · p 0.044
- Wk 10: at Marist · p 0.062
- Wk 11: vs Presbyterian · p 0.018
- Wk 12: at Butler · p 0.235
- Wk 13: at North Dakota State · p 0.861
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Northwestern (IA)Non-NCAA · L 24-27