Morehead State
Pioneer · 1-3 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#102
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#104
−10.2 pts · likely #78–121
Strength of schedule
23.0
#101 of 128
Strength of victory
3.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.416
Opp. 39.6% · Opp. opp. 45.8%
Remaining SOS
18.2
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Mercer | L 22-48 | +9.6 | +2.7 | 0.588 | 1 | −13.0 |
| 4 | at St. Thomas (MN) | L 28-35 | −4.5 | +2.7 | 0.232 | 3 | −8.6 |
| 5 | vs Drake | L 9-16 | −11.3 | −2.7 | 0.059 | 4 | −18.6 |
| 6 | vs Dayton | W 31-7 | −14.2 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Valparaiso · p 0.088
- Wk 8: at Tarleton State · p 0.453
- Wk 9: at San Diego · p 0.124
- Wk 10: vs Butler · p 0.138
- Wk 11: vs Davidson · p 0.244
- Wk 12: at Presbyterian · p 0.042
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs West Virginia StateDII · W 37-35