Cal Poly
Big Sky · 1-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#90
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#113
−11.9 pts · likely #85–125
Strength of schedule
35.6
#37 of 128
Strength of victory
9.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.464
Opp. 45.8% · Opp. opp. 47.5%
Remaining SOS
45.3
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Cal Poly. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs San Diego | W 27-10 | −7.3 | −2.7 | 0.099 | 4 | +4.4 |
| 4 | at Portland State | L 21-59 | −2.0 | +2.7 | 0.286 | 2 | −29.1 |
| 5 | vs UC Davis | L 13-31 | +10.1 | −2.7 | 0.456 | 2 | −11.3 |
| 6 | vs Idaho | L 14-42 | +14.8 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Montana State · p 0.864
- Wk 8: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.046
- Wk 10: at Eastern Washington · p 0.416
- Wk 11: at Sacramento State · p 0.669
- Wk 12: vs Weber State · p 0.271
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at San José StateFBS · L 3-59
- Wk 3: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 41-20